Simple maths of LS BJP+ seats

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Loss of 1 in non expansion zones

Seats lost in UP & Punjab                                                          (73 - 64) + (6-4)  equals

= Seats gained in Bihar + rest of North India + MP,RJ,GU,JH    (39-32) + (30 - 27) + 1

Seats lost in Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Goa, 4-UT  (42-41) + (10-9) +1 + 2 = less 5, matches seats gained in North Karnataka (20-16) = +4

Max potential is for extra 45 out of 345 total seats

New territories with good prospects

1. West Bengal (42 seats) from 2 --> 18   .... potential for extra  24

2. Odisha (21) from 1 --> 8                                                          13

3. Telangana (17) from 1 --> 4                                                     13

4. North East (25) from 12 --> 18                                                  7

5. South Karnataka (8 seats) from 1 --> 5                                     3

36 seats captured in 2019, adding to 17 in 2014

Max potential is for extra 60 out of 113 total seats

Territories hard to capture

1. Kerala (20)  zero

2. Andhra Pradesh (25)  zero, loss of 1 seat

3. Tamil Nadu & Puducherry (40)  1 held, loss of 2 in old alliance and 39 in new alliance
(TN alternates completely between TN regional parties-- will BJP be a -ve factor in the alliance for 2024?)

40 seats lost in 2019

Total seats 85 have given just 1 seat

May 24th, 2019

Election results live coverage from Aaj Tak & DD: