Old Mysore - where BJP is fighting for ascendency
====================================
Old Mysore is a bastion of JDS and Congress. BJP, despite its majorities elsewhere in Karnataka, has won just two closely-contested seats in the two previous Lok Sabha elections. Notably, BJP's popularity has grown in Old Mysore: it won Mysore in LS 2014 and was 2nd in Tumakuru, Chickballapur, Chamrajnagar, Bengaluru rural, ahead of either JDS or Congress. 

JDS and Congress have formed an alliance for LS 2019 polls. The alliance is expected to sweep the eight LS seats in Old Mysore, based purely on arithmetic. Yet, this may not happen as shown by the Mandya LS by-poll in 2018. Here, BJP votes jumped from 87,000 to 245,000, and the alliance tally fell significantly short of the combined individual votes of JDS and Congress.

In other words, in a binary contest, BJP support did not get divided between JDS and Congress for the contest of 1st and 2nd place. The alliance also did not add significant votes from the non-contesting alliance partner. It can be seen that BJP will consolidate its own support and rally support from the disaffected alliance partner. It should also increase votes through Centre's good work and the popularity of Modi §, organic growth through State BJP efforts, anti-incumbency and fractures in the alliance, and occupation of the entire opposition space.

In LS 2019, BJP has a chance to claim seats where it is currently second. BJP votes should grow significantly in Mandya, Kolar and Hassan, though a win is very unlikely.

§ HERE ->  Modi's rally in Gangavati, Karnataka 12/4/2019
April 12th, 2019

Congress, JDS tie-up gives BJP opposition space in old Mysuru region